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Will You Take Your First Autonomous "Robotaxi" Ride in 2023??

Autonomous vehicles, also known as self-driving cars, have been a topic of great interest in recent years. Companies like GM Cruise, Waymo, and Tesla have been working on developing autonomous driving technology, and many people are wondering when they will be able to hail an autonomous taxi and experience a ride in a fully autonomous vehicle. While it is certainly possible that we will see some progress in the development and deployment of autonomous taxis in the coming years, it is unlikely that we will be able to take a fully autonomous taxi ride in 2023.


It is unlikely that we will be able to take a fully autonomous taxi ride in 2023



One reason for this is the current state of autonomous vehicle technology. While companies like Waymo and GM Cruise have made significant strides in demonstrating the capabilities of self-driving cars in controlled environments, the technology is still far from perfect when it comes to navigating real-world conditions. Autonomous vehicles rely on a combination of sensors and algorithms to interpret their surroundings and make driving decisions, but they are still prone to making mistakes or experiencing malfunctions. In addition, the complexity of driving in urban environments means that it will take many more years of testing and development before autonomous vehicles are reliable enough to be deployed in large numbers on public roads.


For those of us outside cities like San Francisco, Phoenix, and now Austin, TX, Tesla's FSD Beta is our best option


Tesla, on the other hand, has been particularly aggressive in its efforts to develop a fleet of autonomous taxis, with CEO Elon Musk promising that the company's Full Self-Driving (FSD) system will be ready for widespread deployment as early as 2021 originally. However, it remains to be seen when Tesla's FSD system will be able to meet Tesla's ambitious timeline, and the company has faced criticism for overstating the capabilities of its autonomous driving technology in the past. Still, for those of us outside cities like San Francisco, Phoenix, and now Austin, TX, Tesla's FSD Beta--which is a more general solution than either Waymo or Cruise--is our best option to experience an autonomous taxi ride in the near future.


For more on Tesla's FSD Beta efforts, check out this video


Many of us can already experience a robotaxi-like ride with Tesla's FSD Beta

In order for autonomous taxis to become a reality, governments will need to establish clear guidelines for their operation and liability


Another factor to consider is the regulatory environment. In order for autonomous taxis to become a reality, governments will need to establish clear guidelines for their operation and liability. This will likely involve extensive testing and certification processes, as well as the development of new laws and regulations to ensure the safety of passengers and pedestrians. Given the many challenges involved in regulating autonomous vehicles, it is unlikely that we will see widespread adoption of autonomous taxis in 2023.



GM's Cruise Autonomous Vehicle

There are also economic considerations to take into account. While autonomous taxis have the potential to reduce the cost of transportation for consumers, they will also likely disrupt the traditional taxi and ride-hailing industry. This means that there will be significant challenges to overcome in terms of convincing consumers to adopt the new technology, as well as convincing investors to fund the development and deployment of autonomous taxis. Companies like Waymo and GM Cruise have made significant investments in autonomous vehicle technology, but it remains to be seen whether they will be able to bring autonomous taxis to market at a viable cost in the near future.



Waymo's Autonomous Vehicle

It will likely take several more years of testing and development before the technology is ready for widespread adoption


While it is certainly possible that we will see some progress in the development of autonomous taxis in the coming years, it is unlikely that we will be able to hail a fully autonomous taxi in 2023. It will likely take several more years of testing and development before the technology is ready for widespread adoption, and there are many regulatory and economic challenges that need to be overcome before we can expect to see autonomous taxis on the roads in large numbers.


--John Gibbs, CEO, Artimatic & Tesla FSD Beta tester
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